This is what the Royals starting rotation looks like:
1. Jeremy Guthrie
2. Luis Mendoza
3. Bruce Chen
4. Luke Hochevar
5. Will Smith
With this rotation, it is hard to believe the Royals finished 3rd in the central division. While Jeremy Guthrie pitched extremely well in the later half of the season, he does not deserve to be an ace on any pitching staff. To be honest, Mendoza, Chen, Hochevar, and Smith would be lucky to even be the fifth starter for the Giants or Tigers. To reach the World Series, a team must have quality starting pitching.
Justin Verlander, obviously, is the Tigers’ most dominant pitcher. Also, the Giants rely heavily on Matt Cain in a win or go home game. While both teams have other outstanding pitchers, none make an impact as much as these two aces.
Every time Verlander or Cain step foot on the mound, their respective team knows they should win the game. If either team is
able to score 3 runs, they will win the majority of the time. Another huge aspect of the pitchers’ importance to their teams, besides the mental aspect, is the number of inning they stay out on the mound. Both pitchers are number one and two in innings-pitched for the postseason. This allows the teams’ managers to be able to save relievers for future games. In addition, the pitching rotation in games usually goes in this order, Verlander – Benoit – Valverde OR Cain – Affeldt – Romo. This scenario gives both teams an excellent chance of winning every time.
To compliment these two dominant aces, both teams have strong 2-3 pitchers. The Tigers have Max Scherzer, a right-handed pitcher who won 16 wins in 2012 and is currently 1-0 in the playoffs. Scherzer averages 11.1 strikeouts per 9 innings. The Giants also have a strong second pitcher in Madison Bumgarner. Bumgarner is a lefty that stands tall at 6’5”. Bumgrarner was the second man in the rotationf or the whole season and will now be used in the bullpen. He won 16 games during the regular season but is 0-2 this postseason. With his struggles this postseason, Barry Zito replaces him in the order as he starts game one in the series. If the Royals somehow made it to the World Series, they would have Luis Mendoza as their second pitcher. Mendoza finished the season with a record of 8-10. Mendoza actually surprised people with his solid season and his ERA of 4.23. He will never be a dominant pitcher, but he has had enough success this season to get him a spot on next year’s rotation. While they have Mendoza signed until 2017, Guthrie is a free agent this offseason. The Royals are faced with a hard decision of whether to pay Guthrie, with the risk of him struggling like he has before, or to let him go altogether.
While every team in the 2012 playoffs had a better starting rotation, I still feel the Royals have the strongest bullpen. Crow and Holland have been lights out for two consecutive years. Kelvin Herrera stepped up big this year with a very respectable 2.35 ERA and 77 strikeouts. Another nice surprise was Tim Collins who recorded 93 strikeouts. Collins maintained an ERA of 3.36. The bullpen was the brightest area for the Royals all season long.
In the end, I see the Giants winning because of the momentum they are riding. The fans in San Francisco have been an essential part to the Giants’ success in the postseason. The Giants rally when they are in a hole, and they know how to battle adversity. Also, Buster Posey will jump out of the postseason slump he has been in. A major key is how Bumgarner and Zito pitch.