Minnesota Twins Prediction

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In 2010 the Minnesota Twins won 94 games and captured their second-straight American League Central title. The Twins won just 63 games and finished dead last in the division in 2011. It was their worst season since 1999. The Twins were active in the off-season, but much of the action came from watching players who were leaving Minnesota rather than the players who were entering Minnesota. The Twins did not do much to significantly upgrade their team.

Picture from: http://www.picturesdepot.com/baseball/24461/joe+mauer+of+the+twins.html

Projected Rotation

1. Carl Pavano (9-13, 4.30 ERA, 1.36 WHIP)
2. Francisco Liriano (9-10, 5.09, 1.49)
3. Scott Baker (8-6, 3.14, 1.17)
4. Nick Blackburn (7-10, 4.49, 1.60)
5. Jason Marquis (8-6, 4.43, 1.49)

Starting pitching was a huge area of concern for the Twins last season. Twins starters pitched just 961 innings, fourth fewest in the American League. They accounted for just 80 quality starts, also fourth fewest in the AL. They posted a collective ERA of 4.64, third-worst in the league. After reviewing the numbers, I would expect the innings pitched to stay around the same because Carlos Pavano who pitched the most innings is not going to do the same at age 36.

1. Denard Span, CF
2. Jamey Carroll, SS
3. Joe Mauer, C
4. Justin Morneau, 1B
5. Josh Willingham, RF
6. Ryan Doumit, DH
7. Danny Valencia, 3B
8. Alexi Casilla, 2B
9. Ben Revere, LF

The Twins offense managed to finish second-to-last in runs scored in 2011 with 619. Their on-base percentage of .306 was second worst in the league, and the slugging percentage stood at a whopping .360. They were in dead last in the home run category for the American League.
Keep in mind last years lineup had good power threats in Michael Cuddyer and Jason Kubel, both of whom are not on the 2012 roster.

With Joe Mauer making $23 million until 2018, he has a great deal of production to make up fro because of only playing in 82 games. In 2009 Mauer put up gaudy numbers for a catcher. He hit .365 and had 28 home runs to go along with 96 RBI’s. He managed to win the MVP for the Twins. With injury nagging, Mauer managed to hit .287 with 30 RBI’s.

CLOSER
Matt Capps (4-7, 15 SV, 7 HLD, 9 BLSV, 4.25 ERA, 1.20 WHIP)

I predict that Ron Gardenhire and the Minnesota Twins finish the 2012 year at 69-93. If healthy, Joe Mauer will put up numbers close to his 2009 season. Justin Morneau has been able to put up monster numbers since 2005. He did win the 2006 MVP and in 2008 he drove in 129 runs (not even his career high). Also, Francisco Liriano has the ability to pitch a no hitter just as he did last year. The rest of the players that Gardenhire has are below average.

Spencer Montgomery

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One thought on “Minnesota Twins Prediction

    tophatal said:
    March 5, 2012 at 7:23 am

    If M Mauer can stay healthy then there’s a chance we can see something special from this team playing at a high level if they’re seeking to win the division at least . AL Central to my mind is the Tigers’ to do with as they please !

    > tophatal ………

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